Fantasy football meets the hobby: Which stars are overvalued and undervalued when comparing Prizm Silver PSA 10 prices?

Mantel

Every fantasy football season brings a fresh round of debates: who’s worth a first-round pick, who’s going to break out, and who’s destined to disappoint. But what happens when you overlay those same projections with the sports card market? With the help of raw data provided by 130point.com, I tracked the average sale prices of Prizm Silver Rookie PSA 10s for the top 100 projected fantasy players in 2025 as ranked by Yahoo Sports on Aug. 15, and the results highlight some fascinating disconnects between on-field expectations and hobby demand.

Quarterback royalty, hobby kings

The QB market is as wild as it gets. Josh Allen’s Prizm Silver PSA 10 sold in January 2025 for a jaw-dropping $5,900. That’s more than triple Joe Burrow’s $1,700 and around 10 times Jalen Hurt’s $543. Patrick Mahomes is right there too at $4,490, showing that long-term hobby demand doesn’t always line up with yearly fantasy rankings. Brock Purdy at $433 is a fascinating QB case: a mid-tier fantasy option, but priced like a top-5 star because of his winning narrative and collectors’ belief in his story. 

Wide receivers: stars and steals

Justin Jefferson commands a monster $500 average as the 5th-ranked fantasy player, showing hobbyists still see him as the premier WR buy. CeeDee Lamb at $228 and Ja’Marr Chase at $195 also anchor the market. But here’s where it gets interesting: Nico Collins, ranked 8th in fantasy, sells for only $90, less than half of Malik Nabers ($194). Meanwhile, undervalued vets like Davante Adams ($138) and Tyreek Hill ($121) show you can buy proven elite production for a fraction of Jefferson’s price.

Running backs: A hobby cold shoulder

Bijan Robinson is the consensus No. 2 fantasy player, yet his Prizm Silver sells for just $87, cheaper than many other stars. Kyren Williams, ranked 27th overall in fantasy, sits at a shocking $20 average despite leading a top offense. These two could prove to be optimal pre-season pickups at those prices. Even Jonathan Taylor ($76) and Josh Jacobs ($35) show how little staying power RBs have in the modern hobby. Contrast that with Derrick Henry at $275, proving that all-time legends can still carve out high-end demand even at the tail end of their careers. Even at a position-high $350, it’s hard not to think there isn’t room for growth for Saquan Barkely if can even get close to a repeat of last year’s numbers. 

Other market quirks

• Jalen Hurts ($543) is as undervalued price-wise as they come compared to QBs like Allen, Burrow, Jackson and Mahomes.

• Caleb Williams, Drake Maye and Bo Nix, last year’s most hyped rookies (before Jayden Daniels ran away with the crown), sell for $694, $458 and $460, respectively, pricing them above more proven stars like Brock Purdy and Kyler Murray.

• Plenty of top tier Fantasy options are returning from 2024 injuries and could see big rebounds in their prices if they stay healthy. Keep an eye on Christian McCaffery ($131), Rashee Rice ($50), Puka Nucau ($86), Kenneth Walker III ($50) and Stefon Diggs ($56).

The big picture

This experiment shows that the hobby doesn’t perfectly track with fantasy football rankings, leaving plenty of opportunities to uncover. Quarterbacks dominate long-term value, wide receivers tend to be safer hobby investments while they are doing well, then running backs, and rookie hype often outweighs actual production. Interestingly, quarterbacks are the hottest position in the hobby even as they are far less valuable in fantasy, while running backs drive fantasy leagues yet remain severely underpriced in the card market. For those who play both games, the edge lies in spotting crossover value: players like Bijan Robinson and Nico Collins may be this year’s best buys, while overpriced names like Caleb Williams and Drake Maye could leave collectors holding the bag if on-field results don’t measure up.

Disclaimer: For players who did not have multiple recent sales, the last sale price was used.